ktn....

ktn did several stroies yeasterday that were supposed to be a cap on the year. remionding people of what happened one year ago yesterday. though people may forgive, they must never be allowed to forget or be duped into turning against one another ever again the way they did... what is your opinion? if you have seen them that is?

charity's foot

yes the foot. dont have much to say except that today is exactly one year since myself and seven israelis who were manning a database that was keeping track of the voting got the shock of our lives. hata waleo i still say kibaki lost by four hundred thousand votes. i dont support raila, but i still think he won....

looking to the new year...

sfaricom allocations

IPO raised a total of 236 BILION SHILLINGS.
LOCAL INVESTORS 160 BILLION FOREIGN INVESTORS 76 BILLION

ALLOCATIONS

SUBSCRIPTION RATE SUPPOSEDLY 553 PERCENT SO OVERSUBSCRIBED BY 453%
GOVERNMENT INVOKED CLAWBACK OPTION OF 15 PERCENT THUS INCREASING SHARES ALLOCATED TO LOCAL INVESTORS BY 1.5 BILLION SHARES. SO LOCAL RETAIL WAS 3.38 BILLION SHARES=1.5 BILLION SHARES

TOTAL OF 864,228 APPLICANTS FOR SHARES LOCALLY(THIS INCLUDES EAST AFRICANS) WITH ATOTAL CASH OUTPUT OF WORTH 113 BILLION SHILLINGS OR 22.6 BILLION SHARES OVERSUBSCRIPTION RATE WAS 669.7 PERCENT. SUPPOSEDLY...
QII
QUALIFIED INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS..... THEY WERE TO PAY AFTER ALLOCATION THUS SAVING THE SHILLING MUCH SUFFERING... 499 APPLICANTS APPLYING FOR 8.8 BILLION SHARES WORTH 43.8 BILLION SJHILLINGS SUBSCRIPTION RATE SWAS 320.8 PERCENT SO OVERSUBSCRIBED BY 220.8%

SAFARICOM DEALERS.... 137 APPLICANTS APPLIED FOR 422.2 MILLION SHARES WORTH 2.1 BILLION SHILLINGS AGAINST AN ALLOCATION OF 130 MILLION SHARES SUBSCRIPTION RATE 324.7%

SAFARICOM EMPLOYEES ..... 1493 APPLICANTS APPLIED FOR 307.5 MILLION SHARES WORTH 1.5 BILLION KENYA SHILLINGS SUBSCRIPTION RATE WAS 118.3 PERCENT

INTERNATIONAL POOL 90 APPLICANTS APPLIED FOR 14.2 BILLION SHARES WORTH 72.6 BILLION SHARES WORTH 72.6 BILLION AGAINST AN ALLOCATION OF I THINK 3.5 BILLION
SUBSCRIPTION RATE IS 711 PERCENT


THESE WERE THE ORIGINAL FIGURE RELEASED BY THE MINISTER WITH THE CAVEAT THAT AFTER INVOKING THE CLAWBACK, THE INTERNATIONAL POOL SHRINKS DOWN TO JUST TWO BILLION SHARES THEREBY REDUCING THE SUBSCRIPTION RATE TO FOR THE LOCAL TO 463.5%(sic). in reality the figure should really be closer to 453% as they later amended it but that then throws into contention all the other numbers.


thus if total for locals collected( they are the only ones who paid up front) is 113 billion then refund is (21/100)* 113,000,000,000 is 89.27 BILLION SHILLINGS.

SO.... Q11 31%
RETAIL... 21%
DEALERS...31%
EMPLOYEES..84%
INTERNATIONAL.. 15%

REFUNDS WILL START AFTER DATE OF ALLOTMENT.. KIMUNYA PUTS THE EXACR DATE AT JUNE 9 WHEN SHARES GO TO STOCK MKT.

NOW YOU CHEW ON THAT

sacoma's world enterpreneurship forum

first... the sacoma world enterpreneurship forum set of today to a roaring strt at the holiday inn in nairobi, most of the speakers were colourless until one khalid sheik.. a uk indian of ugandan origin... the man has a bone to pick with everybody. it seems after leaving uganda as a refugee he set up shop in england and is today worth 850 million pounds sterling.... he trades as clifton packaging plc..... he is so pissed off that the stuff he deals with in the uk originates in africa but so little of the value is left here. case in point. he had the organisers distribute some chocolate... in ghana the cococa beans originate at 600 to 850 pounds atonne. i n the uk after he is done packaging the chocolate, it fetches just under 20 thousand pounds. he gave the example of a cup of coffe... in london it averages 1 pound 50. global business value 140 billion shillings. the ethipian farmer of prime coffee get one and a half pence per kg of raw cofee after watching the tree grow for four years.. yep.....

second.... results from the safaricom ipo expected to come out tomorrow. startling statistics......

third... the rhino charge is this weekend.. expected to be a bruiser in one corner of isiolo.. or maybe not.

cfc stanbic and limousines

first - the high court sitting in nairobi has put off the merger until it decides a case in which a bunch of workers say that they were not paid their pension amounting to 1.1 billion. the court ordered that stanbic which is the defendant deposit half the amount or 503 million in court until the case is decided. the merger has now been in abeyance for the last26 months since announcement. no idea how thw shares will react. bearing in mind that when the announcement leaked, cfc topped 900 bob from a previous high of 131 shillings in one day.

second... tea farmers are in deep hot water over escalation of costs. costing by the ktda shows that kenyan tea will be heavily uncompetitive in the world market and pointedly asked for a governmenty subsidy.

south africa no more

so i spent the week from 1st of april in south africa in sandton just west am is it east of joburg. i must say i took the whole shebang... a guided tour arranged by the sand ton sun of the larger metro are which include trips through soweto, the nuclear reactor, towers, cliptown museum and another whose name i dont remember that is dedicated to children who stood up to the booers and were shot down in exchamge, its named after on young childdjohnson i think...... anyway i wa impressed. amybe there is a lot i did not see but even their informal settlement resemble nothing like our slums..... i resolved i might make the effort to move there and may be even settle down with anice zulu, sotho or tswana girl.... i think those chaps musta read my post bearing in mind what is going on down there now. on the whole i think this is as a result of unequal growth and the poor who are supposed to have benefitted for the affirmative action for blacks and from the exploitation of the countries natural resources have had it. recently some one reminded me that what happened in january and february in kenya was a simple case of some people getting left behind and dragging the whole country back down to their level. that is what is going on in sa today. the first target is the poor foreinor, tomorrow it might be the boer again? anyway me think that more social investment in educationto lift the livelyhoods of those who feel aggrieved may just be the way to go.

fishy business

posta sacco offers prime property for sale . and then withdraws it. in the same page of the same news paper. what the heck is going on? and why sell a prime property any inside info any one? its on pg 25 of the daily nation

SA TRIP

WS RECENTLY IN SANDTONION SOUTH AFRICA, THOSE CHAPS IN THE SOUTH OF A ARE LIGHT YEARS AHEAD OF KENYA. I AM CONSIDERING RELOCATING THERE... IT JUST LOOKED SO ORDERLY AND BETTER THAN THE MESS THAT IS NAIROBI . IT HAS WARMTH THAT IS NOT PRESENT IN ANY OF THE COLD AND SPARTAQN WESTERN CAPITALS.

EQUITY BANK NEW ACQUISITION

EQUITY BANK’S PHENOMENAL GROWTH MOMENTUM CONTINUES, WITH THE ANNOUNCEMENT THAT THE FIVE – YEAR OLD COMMERCIAL BANK IS TO ACQUIRE A 100 PERCENT STAKE IN UGANDA MICROFINANCE LIMITED. THE ARMS – LENTH TRANSACTION INVOLVES 1.7 BILLION KENYA SHILLINGS AND IS TO BE FINANCED BY WAY OF AN ALLOTMENT OF 11.3 MILLION NEW EQUITY BANK SHARES TO THE UGANDA ENTITY’S CURRENT OWNERS. THE DEAL WILL RESULT IN THE DILUTION OF EQUITY BANK SHARES BY ABOUT 3 PERCENT.

THE OUTRIGHT PURCHASE OF UGANDA MICROFINANCE, WHICH HAS 28 BRANCHES AND 14 CONTACT OFFICES ACROSS UGANDA MEANS THAT EQUITY ACQUIRES A PROFITABLE GOING CONCERN AND AVOIDS THE HASSLE OF SETTING UP ITS OWN PRESENCE IN THAT COUNTRY.

ANNOUNCING THE DEAL, EQUITY BANK CEO JAMES MWANGI BRUSHED ASIDE CONCERNS OVER THE BANKS RAPID GROWTH, ATTRIBUTING IT TO UNMET DEMAND IN THE MARKET. MWANGI SAID THE BANK HAD A LIQUITY POSITION OF 77 PERCENT AS AT DECEMBER 2007, AND WAS THEREFORE AWASH WITH CASH AT THE MOMENT, FOLLOWING THE INJECTION OF NEW CAPITAL BY THE HELIOS FUND.

IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE BANK WILL REPLICATE ITS KENYAN MODEL IN UGANDA WHERE ITS NEW SUBSIDIARY WILL BE POISED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF A THRIVING BUSINESS RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE TWO COUNTRIES. 56 PERCENT OF UGANDAN IMPORTS ARE EITHER FROM, OR PASSES THROUGH KENYA. ALSO AT STAKE IS AN INCREASINGLY IMPORTANT SCHOOL FEES TRANSFER DUE TO THE LARGE NUMBER OF KENYANS SCHOOLING IN UGANDA. NOW ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS DEPOSIT THE MONEY IN UA EQUITY ACCOUNT AND IT IS ACCESSIBLE ACROSS THE BORDER IN UGANDA.

THE DEAL, CONCLUDED IN A RECORD THREE WEEKS MEANS THAT EQUITY WILL START ROLLING OUT ITS BRANDING AND SERVIES BY JULY THIS YEAR. THE DEAL IS SUBJECT TO REGULATORY APPROVAL, BESIDES HAVING TO PASS THE SCRUTINY OF 7,000 SHAREHOLDERS AT AN EXTRAORDINARY GENERAL MEETING TO BE CALLED SOME TIME SOON.

PREVIOUS OWNERS ---- UGANDANS AND THE AUREOUS FUND.

Coop bank to go public in 08

Company says it will sell shares through the nse in 2008 so as to realize real value of its shares currently stuck at just one hundred bob. no details yet on amount of shares and other info. it will come out at agm on the 25th of april.

Initially aims to raise just five billion for expansion of branches and investment in ict.


Year 2007 results

- P b t 2.32. billion. A growth of 85 percent
- Growth in interest income by 1.1 billion
- Loan portfolio up by 35 % to hit 38.4 billion
- Company to open 20 new branches some in kayole, river road,upcountry.
- Dividend of 8 shillings per share up from ksh. 5 in 2007

safaricom bytes

first, the hole at francis thuo grows ever bigger as investor were not allowed to migrate today as earlier promised. names were taken down but nothing has happened towars compensation. the about 130 000 investors spent the day milling aroud nation centre even as kimuna on friday said affected investors could open and operate parralel cds accounts so as to continue trading. more.........

when mobile phone tech was introduced in the country the then president received an honorary shareholding in exchange for political goodwill... in both safaricom and kencell..... the safaricom chunk isnow worth about 20 billiob, held thro proxy in a company known as mobitelea, domiciled in the guernsey islands. mobitelea owns part shareholding in safricom thro vodafone kenya in conjunction with vodafone uk.

according to the ksh.5/- valuation, safaricom is worth just over 200 million shillings or just over 3 million dollars.. the shares are being sold at a disounted rate not at par so the valuation could go between 233 and 243 billion shillings, (not quite sure which).

technical details like international v/s local investor ratios are still closely guarded as is the composition of institutional v/s retail investors.

i think safaricom will head south of five bob when it stabilizes because....
one........ it will suck up so much other equity and credit funding that a temporary crunch will be occasioned, meaning that the price of liquidity will go up drawing away those with largesums towards financing those committed especially in the short term

two..... all the hype...... every one and their uncle will go for safaricom, both befoe and after ipo..... it will actually be attractive for institutitonal investors to sell off and double their money, so soon over supply will take its toll.

btw..... anyone know what is going on with kcb...... all tose massive share movements at least two million daily??? the minister says its a vibrant market....... :)

jam on jogoo road

jogoo road looked like this

safaricom at last

finance minister amos kimunya sys that those implicated in the collapse of francis thuo and nyaga may be charged under economic crimes act, plus date for safaricom ipo and pricing set to be announced tomorrow.

the first post

i have tried this blogging stuff severally and dropped out just as many times. i hope this one sticks...... in nairobi kenya..... or not... just somewhere.

.......the bog is about anything that catches mu fancy...... current affairs, business, movies...... plenty of serious stuff and some rumours too.

... my motivation....... i look up to bankelele who has managed to do this for so long without getting bored...... whats your secret? i hope i will be able to post a few pictures too, funny or otherwise........ i do get to meetmany wheeler dealers... so i hope to have a lot of juicy stuff on ua plates soon........ but the name...... it comes from a classic cowboy series called the bonanza. the panderosa is supposed to be a ranch they own that encompasses much of what is today, the state of virginia and virginia city.....( or at least i think so.)



my blog will go down memeory lane and have not a small amount of nostalgia.



i have been criticised severally by my betters for writing in a flowery or too difficult a style...( no, that is not a pointer to what i do) today i a attended the investor briefing cum unaudited six month results release for eabl..

pbt up 22 percent
volumes up 21 percent
turnover for six months to dec 31 07 up 27 percent.
lots of cash in the bank..... 6 bil in term deposits allegedly for investment soon
dividend of ksh.2.40 per share up 34 percent....

however may post a slow down for third quater although management confident there was growth.